Unemployment: A Cyclical or a Structural Problem
The national unemployment rate remains persistently high ranging from 9% to 10% for the last three years, which translates to millions of Americans who remain unemployed or underemployed. The unemployment landscape or should I say “The Waste Land” is the worst this nation has seen since the Great Depression. Is this cruel landscape the result of a global cyclical crisis or is it a fundamental structural issue?
Since the financial meltdown the unemployment issue has now become a crisis and the cause remains a matter of debate.
Let’s understand the distinction with respect to Cyclical Unemployment and Structural Unemployment:
Cyclical Unemployment arises as the result of businesses not having enough demand for labor to employ all those who are looking for work. The lack of employer demand comes from a lack of spending and consumption in the overall economy
While; Structural Unemployment is the result of the fundamental disparity with respect to the demand in labor and the skills of the labor pool.
Some policymakers, economist, and “experts” would have you believe that the source of our nation’s persistently high unemployment rate is rooted in the “skill-gap theory”.
These pundits support this theory with data from the U.S. Department of Labor’s employment projections, which analyzed 30 of the fastest growing occupations through 2016. Based on this analysis 22 which represent 75% of the fastest growing occupations such as network systems, data communications analysis, computer software engineers, etc. require highly technical skill sets that the present and decreasing margin of the future employment pool lack.
This theory is a great tool for those responsible for the present state of our nation’s economic turmoil to cover us in a “forgetful snow, feeding a little life with dried tubers”. “And out of this stony rubbish” it places the blame on the millions which are unemployed or underemployed.
While others policymakers, economist, and “experts” state that structural unemployment is a fake problem, which serves their counterpart’s objective of not pursuing real solutions to the cyclical issues.
Thus the “skill-gap theory” is just “fear in a handful of dust” because the 22 occupations cited only represent 3% of all U.S. jobs. Further these pundits site the IMF’s recent report which argues that 75% of the average unemployment is due to a lack of demand in the economy. This report contends that the present state of the economy and the persistently high unemployment rate mirrors the recession of “1973-1975” where shocks to various industries translated to a prolong rise in unemployment.
But for the millions of Americans unemployed or underemployed these theory don’t matter because a “dead tree gives no shelter”. And as both side debate on the theory instead of resolving the issue by investing in programs which will aid the unemployed millions of Americans continue to pay the price.




